A giant Egyptian Youngman fiercely attacks the frightened anti-riot officers.. Recalling the Egyptian myth-alike of medieval Neighborhood-Protector: Fetou’ah
It is all about humane responses to surrounding environments, which either energize or suppress..
1. When the rulers hysterically lose the confidence that they are undefeatable..
2. When the armed forces show signs of controlled uneasiness..
3. When police individually question that protesters are not criminals..
4. When opposition politicians become unable to promote their alternative agenda..
5. When religious leaders cautiously step in the protest lines..
6. When celebrities slowly show up to unwisely support the regime..
7. When unconsciously the hesitant people start to gear up for potential unrest..
8. When rates of domestic violence, divorce, frauds and minor felonies dramatically drop..
9. When market indicators sharply shakes..
10. When people suddenly become more concerned, considerate, and forgiving..
Then, people’s revolution is inevitably imminent..
Trust me..!
Just read around, compare and assess, then mark your stand..!
In this era of complex political maneuvers and intelligence driven geopolitics, there is no "innocent protest..!! The Organizers can’t stand nor continue; free from lobbying and unspoken support.. Only skillful analysis would help to understand the sequences and predict the route ahead.. In this case, Egyptian Army is never absent, nor US interests in ousting Mubarak, yet maintain stability and alliance.. BTW; many rumors and news are originated with a news-website hosted in the United States by Domains by Proxy, a provider that conceals the location and identity of websites’ registrants.
ReplyDeleteThe problem with democratic reforms is that they can potentially bring to power political forces that at the very least do not define their country’s national interest in line with U.S. strategic interests in the region..
ReplyDeleteStrafor
Today and this morning; I can watch a political regime falling.. Not only my 10 signs are taken place in Egypt, but media and communications black out, deliberate killing by police, US & Europe pulling back supporting the regime, and chaotic anti riot operations.. Till communications are restored with Egypt, either a regime collapsed, or a great bloodshed.. Wither happens, Mubarak should be wise enough to leave.. Egypt and Egyptians will never be the same..
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ReplyDeleteDooms Day in Egypt..!!
ReplyDeleteFetal mistake from the authorities, cutting communications creates chaos, and voids the protest from organizers and leaders.. USA, EU and UN pull their support.. Then, there is no controls, predictions or compromises; whatsoever.. Next, tired Police steps-out and/or anxious Army steps-in..!!
Although all my predictions came true, I feel bad for the losses and hurt.. Deploying the Army is not a support to the regime, but symbolic action for the authority.. Army can't manage civilians.. The fact, tired police forces had to rest, therefore already and suddenly disappeared.. Political vacuum is the imminent problem, which means longer time to control the protest, as far as Mubarak hesitant to show up..!!
ReplyDeleteInevitably, looting synchronizes any public disorders.. This can’t downgrade the peoples’ revolution, nor denounce it.. Skeptic “audience” should understand the human nature, and value and protect the spirit of change rather than infesting the victory by the ill-comments..!
ReplyDeleteI hope our Sudanese politicians, who calls for similar protests, would learn from both Tunisian and Egyptian lessons, as our country is more vulnerable, economy is further weaker, and people are far exhausted.. This why I keep extracting lessons from the rapidly growing case..!
ReplyDeletelooting IS ACTUALLY A RESULT OF THE STATE OF MISERY AND POVERTY INFLICTED ON MANY SECTIONS OF THE EGYPTIAN SOCIETY ,THANKS TO THE CORRUPTED POLITICAL REGIMES IN THE ARAB WORLD ,WHICH LEFT MANY PEOPLE VULNERABLE ACROSS THE BOARD.I WISH THE EGYPTIAN PEOPLE ALL THE BEST IN THEIR FIGHT TO OVER THROW MUBARAK'S DYNASTY AND ITS JUNTA AND SUDAN TO COME .
ReplyDeleteElfatih A.Abdeldaim
I would wish to agree, but lootings in Seattle, Toronto, Seoul, etc, had accompanied those massive uncontrolled protests against globalization.. Also the recent Paris and London ones against internal policies.. Yes, corrupted regimes and leaders worsen the matter, not critical condition to happen.. However, I share the dream to get rid of all dishonest leaders, everywhere, every time..
ReplyDeleteNo one will miss Adel Imam... You have Hosny Mubarak..!!
ReplyDeleteNow, the real Dooms' Day is ignited..!!
Either way..!!
Most Arabic armies have no history of killing their own people, contrary to the police force.. Therefore, they are used to only comfort the streached police paramilitary.. So, you may predict the forthcoming events starting tomorrow noon, Egypt times..!
ReplyDeleteحسب تحليلى القصة إنتهت وغالبا الجيش
ReplyDeleteيستلم، جعلها الله ثورة خير وبركة
Saad N. Elsayd
True, Army is taking over, Mubarak mostly had lift, Chief of Staff will head for a transitional period, consultations to form a new cabinet.. Big announcement tomorrow’s noon to defuse protest.. These are my own readings..
ReplyDeleteI agree with you eccept that Mubarak is mostely neede by the regional and Internaional community
ReplyDeleteSaad N. Elsayd
They already assigned a replacement.. Chief of Staff is flying now back to Cairo from DC.. Or AlBaradei, who was surprisingly came back home, to be hold in house arrest, in order to polish his questioned role..!! a CIA well-drawn scenarios..!!
ReplyDeleteProbably Mubarak temporarily won.. It is ruthless to address the matter without emotions; yet the lessons are critical to sustain or redo.. To effectively pursue such change; inevitably plan for Leadership, Communications, Preparedness, Lobbying; within skillful Read of Politics.. The world is never spontaneous, innocent, righteous or transparent as many would believe.. yet; knowledgeable..!
ReplyDeleteBTW; if the Peoples-Quake fades, the political After-Shokes would last for few days.. They are far dangerous than the Quake itself..
ReplyDeleteI like it: "What has been going on is a quiet coup by the generals designed to save the regime while easing out an old friend.." http://www.stratfor.com/analysis/20110128-intelligence-guidance-mubarak-and-egyptian-military
ReplyDeleteOmar Suliman on Board.. Ezz laid off.. Looting everywhere..
ReplyDeleteJust a Start-up in the quite coup scenario..!!
After Egypt, Tunisian Tsunami will reach Sudan 30th Jan 2011.. Stay tuned..!
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