Saturday, January 23, 2010

Nile Basin..


Nile Basin NB is no different from all other water basins worldwide, where the futuristic wars are predicted to be. The 21st century is the one for fight over resources and expanding markets. Maybe water and oil are the most publicly known, but the other rare metals, limited cultivatable land and cheap manpower are the hidden objectives in strategic policy making. I did always called for the need to draw the national security memorandums to define who are the enemies and what are the threats. Regretfully, not only in Sudan, but in many underdeveloped countries, such a call is a pit of luxury among the wealth-seekers who happened to control politics, investment and enterprising..!!

The motion of fair and just distribution of gains and cost of utilizing the Nile; as water, land and people, requires more exercises. Is it fair to be defined as per waters, land, people, GDP or potential optimum GDP? Sky is never the limit for economic growth, yet most politician claim so..!!

Every country has constraints that are more influential rather than any academic assumptions. I guess, and strongly believe it is a matter of mind set. This is the demise between Politicians and Statesmen.. Where a true government is or not.. Between Egyptians as historical bureaucracy and the others.. Pharaohs’ Nile expeditions, Mohammad Ali’s Salatin assignment, Nasser’s Congo activities, Sadat’s threats on Ethiopian dams, and Mubarak’s swing Sudan Policy.. All are just glimpse of the tip of the Egyptian ice berg.. As it correctly put: it is granted for them that Sudan is positively automatically included in their actions.. Egypto-Sudanese quest will last for long, till our Sudanese political establishment would make sense..!!

A blue chip strategy is in making, as part of universal order that stills apart from agreed definition.. If Egypt was deliberately ignored in CPA, Israel allowed to murder Dr Garang, China is overwhelmingly and uncontrollable in East Africa, Chaos in development pillars and socioeconomic programs, Exodus of brains and cheap adaptable labor, Vast incredible land that would never be lift for Sudanese to manage (as quoted by an NGO worker).. If these all are true, a new phase of colonization is on the drawing boards too.. Land concessions, Agro-industries, Transportation facilities, Communications infrastructure, and joyful CSR slogans would make lots of sense, yet surrounded by legal, social and economic mine fields.. This applies to Sudan, Ethiopia and Uganda; then the whole quest of Eastern Nile Basin ENB will be set cold.. I think it is a smart concept, getting momentum support by political lobbies in favor of enterprising, leveling with Israeli interests, and defuse Darfur tension, as a mirror of the Sub-Saharan quest.. In NB only four countries are counted; while the rest are just numbers who cannot hold the gifted waters, nor use it all..!!

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