However, I shall not reveal the solution process, but the Assumpltions and the Resultants..
Anyone feels interested, may contacts me for more elaboration..
It is 354 days from ousting the President, till have the Road Map is ready
Considering that the processing is clear, which unfortunately is not in real life over there..!!!!
The question is which Scenario the Egyptians would intellegently choose..??
http://adilsud.blogspot.com/2011/02/project-towards-new-egypt.html
The illustration was deliberately made confusing.. I just complied all scenarios in one AON diagram.. If you are qualified and interested, we may share some ideas.. If not, skip it.. or add to your art collections..!
ReplyDeleteI was looking for meeting an Egyptian PM, with interest in politics.. Regretfully, they still at KPI-0 since 11th of Feb.. They lost more than 30 days in their project towards the lasting stability.. Maybe they can generate recovery programs to catch up.. However the Critical Path was set on 257 days, ending on 26th of Oct..
ReplyDeleteIt is not a mind game, but an intellectual one..!
Hi Adil
ReplyDeleteIn your scenario, all plans (1to4) start with Temp authority
I just came from Cairo, and the temp authority doesn't look very "temp" , apart from their claims of 6months to handover !
It's messy when Democratic transformation is assigned to militants who know nothing about democracy
My own view is:
Temp authority--people revolution against temp authority--people declare civil disobedience--civil war--US and NATO interference--suicide attacks against US and NATO--leading to a state of:
S01: Libya
S02: Yemen
S03: Iraq
S04: Mubarak-like regime
The above is near realistic than pessimistic